2015 Season results for St. Pius (GV,5-5A)

13   1   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1289     -137
Strength     Momentum
1220   70.7(1)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  19W   3L   1T 
District  5W   1L   0T 
Expected  17:   5+   1- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/21/15 at Bloomfield 0.000918W 11- 1 Expected (+7)1635 84%
08/21/15 at Piedra Vista 0.0001001W 6- 1 Expected (+2)1409 78%
08/22/15 at Aztec 0.0001155W 3- 0 Expected (+2)1384 63%
08/27/15 at Sandia Prep 0.0001273W 6- 0 Better (+6)1597 50%
09/01/15 at Los Alamos 0.0011278W 2- 0 Better (+2)1395 48%
09/03/15 Los Lunas 0.0011093W 7- 0 Expected (+5)1536 74%
09/05/15 at Aztec 0.0021155W 2- 1 Expected (0)1284 63%
09/08/15 Rio Rancho ! 0.0031444W 4- 2 Better (+3)1455 35%
09/11/15 at Volcano Vista 0.0061463L 1- 2 Expected (+1)1338 28%
09/15/15 at St. Michael's 0.0111262W 3- 2 Expected (+1)1337 51%
09/18/15 Piedra Vista 0.0171001W 3- 0 Expected (0)1284 81%
09/19/15 Farmington 0.0221220W 3- 1 Expected (+1)1343 61%
09/22/15 at La Cueva ? 0.0341493L 0- 2 Expected (0)1303 26%
09/24/15 Eldorado !! 0.0481533W 3- 2 Better (+3)1450 26%
10/06/15 at Moriarty 0.014458W 10- 0 Expected (+2)1405 98%
10/08/15 Albuquerque Academy 0.2331268W 3- 1 Expected (+2)1367 55%
10/13/15 at Grants 0.027561W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1457 98%
10/15/15 Moriarty 0.056458W 10- 0 Expected (+2)1382 98%
10/22/15 Grants 0.086561W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1433 98%
10/23/15 at Albuquerque Academy ?? 0.6721268L 2- 4 Expected (-2)1190 50%
11/05/15 * Goddard 0.636830W 5- 0 Expected (0)1300 90%
11/06/15 * Albuquerque Academy 0.9891268T 1- 1 Worse (0)1267 53%
11/07/15 * Los Alamos 0.9401278W 1- 0 Better (+1)1345 51%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals St. Pius actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1220, while
St. Pius's "weighted playing strength" is 1295
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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