13 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1289 -137 Strength Momentum |
1220 70.7(1) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.000 | 918 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+7) | 1635 | 84% | |
08/21/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.000 | 1001 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1409 | 78% | |
08/22/15 | at Aztec | 0.000 | 1155 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1384 | 63% | |
08/27/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.000 | 1273 | W 6- 0 | Better (+6) | 1597 | 50% | |
09/01/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.001 | 1278 | W 2- 0 | Better (+2) | 1395 | 48% | |
09/03/15 | Los Lunas | 0.001 | 1093 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1536 | 74% | |
09/05/15 | at Aztec | 0.002 | 1155 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1284 | 63% | |
09/08/15 | Rio Rancho ! | 0.003 | 1444 | W 4- 2 | Better (+3) | 1455 | 35% | |
09/11/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.006 | 1463 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1338 | 28% | |
09/15/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.011 | 1262 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1337 | 51% | |
09/18/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.017 | 1001 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1284 | 81% | |
09/19/15 | Farmington | 0.022 | 1220 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1343 | 61% | |
09/22/15 | at La Cueva ? | 0.034 | 1493 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1303 | 26% | |
09/24/15 | Eldorado !! | 0.048 | 1533 | W 3- 2 | Better (+3) | 1450 | 26% | |
10/06/15 | at Moriarty | 0.014 | 458 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1405 | 98% | |
10/08/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.233 | 1268 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1367 | 55% | |
10/13/15 | at Grants | 0.027 | 561 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1457 | 98% | |
10/15/15 | Moriarty | 0.056 | 458 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1382 | 98% | |
10/22/15 | Grants | 0.086 | 561 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1433 | 98% | |
10/23/15 | at Albuquerque Academy ?? | 0.672 | 1268 | L 2- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1190 | 50% | |
11/05/15 | * Goddard | 0.636 | 830 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1300 | 90% | |
11/06/15 | * Albuquerque Academy | 0.989 | 1268 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 1267 | 53% | |
11/07/15 | * Los Alamos | 0.940 | 1278 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1345 | 51% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals St. Pius actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1220, while
St. Pius's "weighted playing strength" is 1295
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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